Macro Themes

Macro investing begins with a simple idea: the largest global forces influence the direction of asset prices more than any single trade, company, or news cycle. Economic cycles, central bank policies, demographics, and geopolitical events — these are the tides that carry markets.

As the saying goes: "A rising tide lifts all boats." Understanding where we are in the cycle — expansion or contraction, inflationary or deflationary — can dramatically improve decision-making. While the future is never certain, the past is rich with recurring patterns. We invest not in certainties, but in probabilities.

This philosophy echoes the thinking of legendary investors like Stan Druckenmiller and George Soros, who demonstrated that large, asymmetric bets based on macro conviction can shape portfolios for decades.

“It’s not whether you’re right or wrong that’s important, but how much money you make when you’re right and how much you lose when you’re wrong.”
— George Soros

This space will grow to highlight macro trends, historical parallels, and frameworks to help understand the flow of capital across regimes. Expect notes on liquidity, volatility, inflation cycles, and the signals hidden in the noise.